The pursuit of cures for HIV and cancer involves complex scientific challenges unique to each disease. Here’s a summary of their timelines and probabilities of success: HIV: Likely to See a "Functional Cure" First 2030s Here is the reason why. Functional vs. Sterilising Cure : A " functional cure " (long-term remission without daily medication) is more achievable in the next 10–15 years. Examples like the " Berlin Patient " and " London Patient " (cured via bone marrow transplants ) prove it’s possible, albeit not scalable yet. Targeted Mechanism: HIV is a single virus with a well-understood structure, making it easier to focus research on eradicating or suppressing it. Progress in Gene Therapy : CRISPR-based treatments and "shock-and-kill" strategies (to flush latent viruses from reservoirs) are advancing rapidly. Initial Challenges The scalability and accessibility of therapies like gene editing remain significant hu...
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